OB Wheel vs Ultrasound Dating: Which Is More Accurate?
LMP-based dating through the obstetric wheel is a reasonable first estimate, but it has a built-in vulnerability: it depends entirely on the accuracy of the LMP date and the assumption of a 28-day cycle.
First-trimester ultrasound, particularly crown-rump length (CRL) measurement up to and including 13 weeks and 6 days, is the most accurate method for establishing or confirming gestational age. If ultrasound dating before 14 weeks differs from LMP dating by more than 7 days, the EDD should generally be changed to correspond with the ultrasound dating. In the second trimester, the threshold varies by gestational age: more than 7 days at 14 to 15 weeks, more than 10 days at 16 to 21 weeks, and more than 14 days at 22 to 27 weeks.
Why ultrasound wins in borderline cases:
- It measures actual fetal size, not a calendar assumption.
- It is not affected by irregular cycles, late ovulation, or recall errors about the LMP date.
- CRL measurement in the first trimester has an accuracy of approximately ±5–7 days and is the most accurate method for establishing or confirming gestational age.
That said, the OB wheel pregnancy tool remains valuable in low-resource settings or at the first contact before imaging is available. It is a starting point, not a final answer.